期刊
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL FOR NUMERICAL METHODS IN ENGINEERING
卷 121, 期 14, 页码 3159-3177出版社
WILEY
DOI: 10.1002/nme.6351
关键词
active learning; Gaussian process; polynomial chaos expansion; reliability analysis
资金
- Northwestern Polytechnical University [CX201933]
- National Natural Science Foundation of China [NSFC 51775439]
- National Science and Technology Major Project [2017-IV-0009-0046]
Assessing the failure probability of complex aeronautical structure is a difficult task in presence of uncertainties. In this paper, active learning polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is developed for reliability analysis. The proposed method firstly assigns a Gaussian Process (GP) prior to the model response, and the covariance function of this GP is defined by the inner product of PCE basis function. Then, we show that a PCE model can be derived by the posterior mean of the GP, and the posterior variance is obtained to measure the local prediction error as Kriging model. Also, the expectation of the prediction variance is derived to measure the overall accuracy of the obtained PCE model. Then, a learning function, named expected indicator function prediction error (EIFPE), is proposed to update the design of experiment of PCE model for reliability analysis. This learning function is developed under the framework of the variance-bias decomposition. It selects new points sequentially by maximizing the EIFPE that considers both the variance and bias information, and it provides a dynamic balance between global exploration and local exploitation. Finally, several test functions and engineering applications are investigated, and the results are compared with the widely used Kriging model combined with U and expected feasibility function learning function. Results show that the proposed method is efficient and accurate for complex engineering applications.
作者
我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。
推荐
暂无数据