The scientific challenge of understanding and estimating climate change

Deep learning and process understanding for data-driven Earth system science

(2019) Markus Reichstein et al.   NATURE

Finding plausible and diverse variants of a climate model. Part 1: establishing the relationship between errors at weather and climate time scales

(2019) D. M. H. Sexton et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Subseasonal Weather Prediction in a Global Convection-Permitting Model

(2019) Nicholas J. Weber et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Eddy Compensation Dampens Southern Ocean Sea Surface Temperature Response to Westerly Wind Trends

(2019) Edward W. Doddridge et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Attributing Historical and Future Evolution of Radiative Feedbacks to Regional Warming Patterns using a Green’s Function Approach: The Preeminence of the Western Pacific

(2019) Yue Dong et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

DYAMOND: the DYnamics of the Atmospheric general circulation Modeled On Non-hydrostatic Domains

(2019) Bjorn Stevens et al.   Progress in Earth and Planetary Science

A Simple Pedagogical Model Linking Initial-Value Reliability with Trustworthiness in the Forced Climate Response

(2018) T. N. Palmer et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Is precipitation a good metric for model performance?

(2018) Francisco J. Tapiador et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene

(2018) Will Steffen et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Scale-selective precision for weather and climate forecasting

(2018) Matthew Chantry et al.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

Earth System Modeling 2.0: A Blueprint for Models That Learn From Observations and Targeted High-Resolution Simulations

(2017) Tapio Schneider et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Climate research must sharpen its view

(2017) Jochem Marotzke et al.   Nature Climate Change

Outcomes and challenges of global high-resolution non-hydrostatic atmospheric simulations using the K computer

(2017) Masaki Satoh et al.   Progress in Earth and Planetary Science

A personal perspective on modelling the climate system

(2016) T. N. Palmer   PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

The quiet revolution of numerical weather prediction

(2015) Peter Bauer et al.   NATURE

Atmospheric circulation as a source of uncertainty in climate change projections

(2014) Theodore G. Shepherd   Nature Geoscience

The real butterfly effect

(2014) T N Palmer et al.   NONLINEARITY

Characteristics of Occasional Poor Medium-Range Weather Forecasts for Europe

(2013) Mark J Rodwell et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

What Are Climate Models Missing?

(2013) B. Stevens et al.   SCIENCE

Eddy Saturation of Equilibrated Circumpolar Currents

(2012) David R. Munday et al.   JOURNAL OF PHYSICAL OCEANOGRAPHY

Tuning the climate of a global model

(2012) Thorsten Mauritsen et al.   Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

Toward a New Generation of World Climate Research and Computing Facilities

(2010) J. Shukla et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change

(2010) Ed Hawkins et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Analyzing the Climate Sensitivity of the HadSM3 Climate Model Using Ensembles from Different but Related Experiments

(2009) Jonathan Rougier et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE