Confronting models with data: the challenges of estimating disease spillover

Modeling elk‐to‐livestock transmission risk to predict hotspots of brucellosis spillover

(2019) Nathaniel D. Rayl et al.   JOURNAL OF WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT

Species distribution modeling in regions of high need and limited data: waterfowl of China

(2018) Diann J. Prosser et al.   Avian Research

Spatio-temporal spillover risk of yellow fever in Brazil

(2018) RajReni B. Kaul et al.   Parasites & Vectors

Inferring epidemiologic dynamics from viral evolution: 2014-2015 Eurasian/North American highly pathogenic avian influenza viruses exceed transmission threshold, R 0  = 1, in wild birds and poultry in North America

(2017) Daniel A. Grear et al.   Evolutionary Applications

Linking spring phenology with mechanistic models of host movement to predict disease transmission risk

(2017) Jerod A. Merkle et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

Pathways to zoonotic spillover

(2017) Raina K. Plowright et al.   NATURE REVIEWS MICROBIOLOGY

Shifting brucellosis risk in livestock coincides with spreading seroprevalence in elk

(2017) Angela Brennan et al.   PLoS One

Spatial Modeling of Wild Bird Risk Factors for Highly Pathogenic A(H5N1) Avian Influenza Virus Transmission

(2016) Diann J. Prosser et al.   AVIAN DISEASES

Identification of migratory bird flyways in North America using community detection on biological networks

(2016) Michael G. Buhnerkempe et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Hierarchical animal movement models for population-level inference

(2016) Mevin B. Hooten et al.   ENVIRONMETRICS

Evidence for common ancestry among viruses isolated from wild birds in Beringia and highly pathogenic intercontinental reassortant H5N1 and H5N2 influenza A viruses

(2016) Andrew M. Ramey et al.   INFECTION GENETICS AND EVOLUTION

Genomics reveals historic and contemporary transmission dynamics of a bacterial disease among wildlife and livestock

(2016) Pauline L. Kamath et al.   Nature Communications

Ecological Contexts of Index Cases and Spillover Events of Different Ebolaviruses

(2016) Seth D. Judson et al.   PLoS Pathogens

An ecological perspective on Brucella abortus in the western United States

(2016) P.C. CROSS et al.   REVUE SCIENTIFIQUE ET TECHNIQUE-OFFICE INTERNATIONAL DES EPIZOOTIES

Continuous-time discrete-space models for animal movement

(2015) Ephraim M. Hanks et al.   Annals of Applied Statistics

REVIEW: Can habitat selection predict abundance?

(2015) Mark S. Boyce et al.   JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY

Intercontinental Spread of Asian-Origin H5N8 to North America through Beringia by Migratory Birds

(2015) Dong-Hun Lee et al.   JOURNAL OF VIROLOGY

Estimating the phenology of elk brucellosis transmission with hierarchical models of cause-specific and baseline hazards

(2015) Paul C. Cross et al.   JOURNAL OF WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT

Assembling evidence for identifying reservoirs of infection

(2014) Mafalda Viana et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION

Computationally Efficient Statistical Differential Equation Modeling Using Homogenization

(2013) Mevin B. Hooten et al.   JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL BIOLOGICAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL STATISTICS

Using quantitative disease dynamics as a tool for guiding response to avian influenza in poultry in the United States of America

(2013) K.M. Pepin et al.   PREVENTIVE VETERINARY MEDICINE

Model-guided fieldwork: practical guidelines for multidisciplinary research on wildlife ecological and epidemiological dynamics

(2012) Olivier Restif et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Multiannual patterns of influenza A transmission in Chinese live bird market systems

(2012) Kim M. Pepin et al.   Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses

Underestimating the effects of spatial heterogeneity due to individual movement and spatial scale: infectious disease as an example

(2012) Paul C. Cross et al.   LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY

Presence-only modelling using MAXENT: when can we trust the inferences?

(2012) Charles B. Yackulic et al.   Methods in Ecology and Evolution

Modelling the distribution of chickens, ducks, and geese in China

(2011) Diann J. Prosser et al.   AGRICULTURE ECOSYSTEMS & ENVIRONMENT

Statistical inference for stochastic simulation models - theory and application

(2011) Florian Hartig et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Assessing First-Order Emulator Inference for Physical Parameters in Nonlinear Mechanistic Models

(2011) Mevin B. Hooten et al.   JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL BIOLOGICAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL STATISTICS

Plug-and-play inference for disease dynamics: measles in large and small populations as a case study

(2009) D. He et al.   Journal of the Royal Society Interface

Epidemic Dynamics at the Human-Animal Interface

(2009) J. O. Lloyd-Smith et al.   SCIENCE

New Anatidae population estimates for eastern China: Implications for current flyway estimates

(2008) Lei Cao et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION