A machine-learning approach for accurate detection of copy number variants from exome sequencing

Copy number variants (CNVs) are a major cause of several genetic disorders, making their detection an essential component of genetic analysis pipelines. Current methods for detecting CNVs from exome-sequencing data are limited by high false-positive rates and low concordance because of inherent biases of individual algorithms. To overcome these issues, calls generated by two or more algorithms are often intersected using Venn diagram approaches to identify high-confidence CNVs. However, this approach is inadequate, because it misses potentially true calls that do not have consensus from multiple callers. Here, we present CN-Learn, a machine-learning framework that integrates calls from multiple CNV detection algorithms and learns to accurately identify true CNVs using caller-specific and genomic features from a small subset of validated CNVs. Using CNVs predicted by four exome-based CNV callers (CANOES, CODEX, XHMM, and CLAMMS) from 503 samples, we demonstrate that CN-Learn identifies true CNVs at higher precision (similar to 90%) and recall (similar to 85%) rates while maintaining robust performance even when trained with minimal data (similar to 30 samples). CN-Learn recovers twice as many CNVs compared to individual callers or Venn diagram-based approaches, with features such as exome capture probe count, caller concordance, and GC content providing the most discriminatory power. In fact, similar to 58% of all true CNVs recovered by CN-Learn were either singletons or calls that lacked support from at least one caller. Our study underscores the limitations of current approaches for CNV identification and provides an effective method that yields high-quality CNVs for application in clinical diagnostics.