期刊
RADIOCARBON
卷 61, 期 3, 页码 661-680出版社
UNIV ARIZONA DEPT GEOSCIENCES
DOI: 10.1017/RDC.2019.27
关键词
carbon-13; carbon-14; climate change; solar cycles; tree rings
资金
- National Science Foundation [ATM 0226063, ATM-0210091, ATM-024710, ATM-9520135, ATM-8919535 EAR-8822292]
- State of Arizona
Time series of annual Delta C-14 and delta C-13 in tree rings of Sequoiadendron giganteum, AD 998-1510, are similar in form. The Delta C-14 series completes, with data of Stuiver and Braziunas (1993), a 957-yr time-series. Discrete Fourier transformation of detrended Delta C-14 reveals periods of 126, 91, 56, 17.6, 13.6, 10.4, and 7.1 yr. Non-random differences exist between decadal averages of the Sequoiadendron Delta C-14 data and data of Stuiver and Becker (1993). Periods of 7-17 yr may correspond to Schwabe or related climatic cycles; these have 10-17-yr periods and amplitudes < 6 parts per thousand (AD 1100-1250), and periods near 7 yr with amplitudes up to 10 parts per thousand (AD 1380-1420). Abrupt increases in Delta C-14 are mainly less than 5 parts per thousand, and do not constitute convincing evidence of increased C-14 production from supernovae or solar proton events. The delta C-13 time-series is likely to reflect climate change, and for centennial periodicity lags behind Delta C-14 by 20-40 yr (centennial time-scale) and 25-50 yr (millennial). Phase-shifts between solar luminosity and surface Delta C-14 are 125-175 yr and 20 yr for millennial and centennial cycles, respectively. The study suggests that strongest climate effects may therefore follow peak luminosity by 125-175 yr for millennial cycles and 20-40 yr for centennial cycles.
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