4.7 Article

Exploring hydro-meteorological drought patterns over the Greater Horn of Africa (1979-2014) using remote sensing and reanalysis products

期刊

ADVANCES IN WATER RESOURCES
卷 94, 期 -, 页码 45-59

出版社

ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.advwatres.2016.04.005

关键词

Greater Horn of Africa; Total storage deficit index (TSDI); Standardized precipitation index (SPI); Spatial independent component analysis (sICA); ENSO; IOD

资金

  1. Alexander von Humboldt Foundation
  2. Japan Society of Promotion of Science
  3. Brazilian Science Without Borders Program/CAPES [88881.068057/2014-01]
  4. Curtin Strategic International Research Scholarship
  5. the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
  6. German Research Foundation (DFG) under the project BAYES-G
  7. German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD) [2015/16 57044996]
  8. Curtin University (Australia)

向作者/读者索取更多资源

Spatio-temporal patterns of hydrological droughts over the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) are explored based on total water storage (TWS) changes derived from time-variable gravity field solutions of Gravity Recovery And Climate Experiment (GRACE, 2002-2014), together with those simulated by Modern Retrospective Analysis for Research Application (MERRA, 1980-2014). These hydrological extremes are then related to meteorological drought events estimated from observed monthly precipitation products of Global Precipitation Climatology Center (GPCC, 1979-2010) and Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM, 1998-2014). The major focus of this contribution lies on the application of spatial Independent Component Analysis (sICA) to extract distinguished regions with similar rainfall and TWS with similar overall trend and seasonality. Rainfall and TWS are used to estimate Standard Precipitation Indices (SPIs) and Total Storage Deficit Indices (TSDIs), respectively that are employed to characterize frequency and intensity of hydro-meteorological droughts over GHA. Significant positive (negative) changes in monthly rainfall over Ethiopia (Sudan) between 2002 and 2010 leading to a significant increase in TWS over the central GHA region were noted in both MERRA and GRACE TWS (2002-2014). However, these trends were completely reversed in the long-term (1980-2010) records of rainfall (GPCC) and TWS (MERRA). The four independent hydrological sub-regions extracted based on the sICA (i.e., Lake Victoria Basin, Ethiopia Sudanese border, South Sudan, and Tanzania) indicated fairly distinct temporal patterns that matched reasonably well between precipitation and TWS changes. While meteorological droughts were found to be consistent with most previous studies in all sub-regions, their impacts are clearly observed in the TWS changes resulting in multiple years of extreme hydrological droughts. Correlations between SPI and TSDI were found to be significant over Lake Victoria Basin, South Sudan, and Tanzania. The low correlations between SPI and TSDI over Ethiopia are likely related to inconsistency between TWS and precipitation signals. Further, we found that hydrological droughts in these regions were significantly associated with Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) events while El Nifio Southern Oscillation (ENSO) plays a secondary role. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

作者

我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。

评论

主要评分

4.7
评分不足

次要评分

新颖性
-
重要性
-
科学严谨性
-
评价这篇论文

推荐

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

A simultaneous calibration and data assimilation (C/DA) to improve NRLMSISE00 using thermospheric neutral density (TND) from space-borne accelerometer measurements

E. Forootan, S. Farzaneh, M. Kosary, M. Schmidt, M. Schumacher

Summary: Improving thermospheric neutral density estimates is crucial for computing drag forces on LEO satellites and debris. By using accelerometer measurements to improve the NRLMSISE-00 model and implementing a novel C/DA technique, the accuracy of TND predictions has been significantly enhanced, leading to a reduction in misfit between model and observations.

GEOPHYSICAL JOURNAL INTERNATIONAL (2021)

Article Remote Sensing

Exploiting a texture framework and high spatial resolution properties of panchromatic images to generate enhanced multi-layer products: Examples of Pleiades and historical CORONA space photographs

Ashty Saleem, J. L. Awange, R. Corner

Summary: This study examines the potential of utilizing panchromatic images for remote sensing applications through proposing new methods and employing texture analysis to enhance the images. By evaluating the classification results in Iran, Syria, and Kurdistan, it demonstrates the capability of the approach in handling complex panchromatic datasets.

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REMOTE SENSING (2021)

Article Environmental Sciences

Exploring groundwater and soil water storage changes across the CONUS at 12.5 km resolution by a Bayesian integration of GRACE data into W3RA

Nooshin Mehrnegar, Owen Jones, Michael Bliss Singer, Maike Schumacher, Thomas Jagdhuber, Bridget R. Scanlon, Ashraf Rateb, Ehsan Forootan

Summary: The novel Bayesian MCMC-DA approach integrates GRACE TWSC data into the water balance model, improving water storage estimates across the CONUS, particularly for groundwater and soil water storage. This hybrid approach shows promise for understanding the links between climate and the water balance over broad regions, with improved representation of ENSO-related variability.

SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT (2021)

Article Chemistry, Analytical

Enhancing Crop Yield Prediction Utilizing Machine Learning on Satellite-Based Vegetation Health Indices

Hoa Thi Pham, Joseph Awange, Michael Kuhn, Binh Van Nguyen, Luyen K. Bui

Summary: Accurate crop yield forecasting is crucial in the food industry. This study proposes a framework that combines machine learning algorithms, higher-order spatial independent component analysis, and principal component analysis to enhance rice yield prediction accuracy.

SENSORS (2022)

Article Environmental Sciences

Stability of CubeSat Clocks and Their Impacts on GNSS Radio Occultation

Amir Allahvirdi-Zadeh, Joseph Awange, Ahmed El-Mowafy, Tong Ding, Kan Wang

Summary: Global Navigation Satellite Systems' radio occultation (GNSS-RO) plays a crucial role in providing atmospheric profiles for weather forecasting and climate change studies. This study compares the clock stabilities of CubeSats and larger low Earth orbit (LEO) satellites, and proposes methods to improve CubeSats' clock stabilities. The results show that CubeSats can achieve high-quality atmospheric profiles comparable to those of LEO satellites, even with unstable onboard clocks. Advancements in chip-scale atomic clocks and onboard processing units present a promising future for real-time applications.

REMOTE SENSING (2022)

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

A sequential calibration approach based on the ensemble Kalman filter (C-EnKF) for forecasting total electron content (TEC)

M. Kosary, E. Forootan, S. Farzaneh, M. Schumacher

Summary: This study presents a sequential calibration approach based on the Ensemble Kalman Filter to improve Total Electron Content (TEC) estimations in the ionosphere. The calibrated model, called 'C-EnKF-IRI', shows improved accuracy compared to existing models and can be used for real-time TEC estimations. The results demonstrate the importance of accurate ionospheric models in reducing the effects on Global Navigation Satellite Systems.

JOURNAL OF GEODESY (2022)

Article Chemistry, Analytical

Precipitation and Soil Moisture Spatio-Temporal Variability and Extremes over Vietnam (1981-2019): Understanding Their Links to Rice Yield

Luyen K. Bui, Joseph Awange, Dinh Toan Vu

Summary: This study investigates the spatio-temporal variability in precipitation and soil moisture in Vietnam using independent component analysis. The results show that the wetter period in the southern and South Central Coast areas is later than in the northern and North Central Coast areas. The spatial patterns of annual mean precipitation and soil moisture disagree, likely due to factors other than precipitation. The CHIRPS Standardized Precipitation Index and GLDAS Standardized Soil Moisture Index are useful in capturing climate extremes and identifying their influences on rice production in Vietnam.

SENSORS (2022)

Article Environmental Sciences

Assessing Climate Influence on Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Macrophytes in Eutrophicated Reservoirs by Remotely Sensed Time Series

Leandro Fernandes Coladello, Maria de Lourdes Bueno Trindade Galo, Milton Hirokazu Shimabukuro, Ivana Ivanova, Joseph Awange

Summary: The overgrowth of macrophytes in urbanized and industrialized reservoirs is a common problem triggered by human activities. While remote sensing is used to monitor the occurrence of aquatic plants, studies seldom consider the influence of climate variables on macrophyte dynamics at medium to long-term scales. This study examines the spatiotemporal dynamics of macrophytes in a eutrophic reservoir, using the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) as a proxy for macrophytes and matching it with climate variables from NOAA. The results show that climate fluctuations contribute to the spatial dispersion of macrophytes.

REMOTE SENSING (2022)

Article Environmental Sciences

Relationship of Attributes of Soil and Topography with Land Cover Change in the Rift Valley Basin of Ethiopia

Gebiaw T. Ayele, Ayalkibet M. Seka, Habitamu Taddese, Mengistu A. Jemberrie, Christopher E. Ndehedehe, Solomon S. Demissie, Joseph L. Awange, Jaehak Jeong, David P. Hamilton, Assefa M. Melesse

Summary: Understanding the spatiotemporal trend of land cover change and its impact on hydrology, ecosystems, and the environment is crucial. This study analyzed the land cover change in a specific area using remotely-sensed data and assessed its relationship with watershed characteristics. The findings revealed an increase in agricultural land and a decrease in bushland, grazing land, and forest, influenced by soil type, fertility, and slope.

REMOTE SENSING (2022)

Article Environmental Sciences

Hydrological Droughts of 2017-2018 Explained by the Bayesian Reconstruction of GRACE(-FO) Fields

Shaoxing Mo, Yulong Zhong, Ehsan Forootan, Xiaoqing Shi, Wei Feng, Xin Yin, Jichun Wu

Summary: This study reconstructs and analyzes droughts during the gap period between two GRACE missions using a Bayesian convolutional neural network. It identifies severe droughts in mid-latitude regions lasting over 1 year, which are mainly attributed to continuous below-normal precipitation. The reconstructed signals maintain data continuity and are recommended for hydro-climatological studies.

WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH (2022)

Article Environmental Sciences

Understanding Water Level Changes in the Great Lakes by an ICA-Based Merging of Multi-Mission Altimetry Measurements

Wei Chen, C. K. Shum, Ehsan Forootan, Wei Feng, Min Zhong, Yuanyuan Jia, Wenhao Li, Junyi Guo, Changqing Wang, Quanguo Li, Lei Liang

Summary: Accurately monitoring spatio-temporal changes in lake water levels is important for studying the impacts of climate change on freshwater resources, and for predicting natural hazards. In this study, multi-mission radar satellite altimetry data was used to reconstruct lake-wide spatio-temporal changes in water level. The results indicate a significant correlation between lake level changes and ENSO episodes.

REMOTE SENSING (2022)

Article Environmental Sciences

Understanding the Spatial-Temporal Patterns of Floating Islands Impacting the Major Dams of the White Nile

Omweno Ondari, Joseph Awange, Yongze Song, Allan Kasedde

Summary: The formation of floating islands in the Nalubaale, Kiira, and Bujagali dams in Uganda is caused by precipitation, fluctuating water levels, and wind variations, which negatively impact hydropower production.

REMOTE SENSING (2023)

Article Environmental Sciences

Making the Best Use of GRACE, GRACE-FO and SMAP Data Through a Constrained Bayesian Data-Model Integration

Nooshin Mehrnegar, Maike Schumacher, Thomas Jagdhuber, Ehsan Forootan

Summary: In this study, a newly developed Constrained Bayesian (ConBay) optimization approach is used to merge the TWSC of GRACE/GRACE-FO with SMAP soil moisture data and assess the groundwater storage of the High Plain aquifer in the United States. The results show that assimilating GRACE/GRACE-FO data can improve groundwater estimates, and incorporating SMAP data controls the updates of surface storage.

WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH (2023)

Article Chemistry, Analytical

Evaluation of Three Feature Dimension Reduction Techniques for Machine Learning-Based Crop Yield Prediction Models

Hoa Thi Pham, Joseph Awange, Michael Kuhn

Summary: Machine learning has played a crucial role in crop yield forecasting, but identifying critical features from datasets remains challenging. This study proposes a framework that compares feature selection, feature extraction, and their combination to enhance model performance, finding that the combined approach performs the best. The results emphasize the significant role of feature selection, feature extraction, and their combination with various machine learning algorithms in improving the accuracy of crop yield predictions.

SENSORS (2022)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

A hierarchical Constrained Bayesian (ConBay) approach to jointly estimate water storage and Post-Glacial Rebound from GRACE(-FO) and GNSS data

Ehsan Forootan, Nooshin Mehrnegar

Summary: This study presents a hierarchical constrained Bayesian approach to estimate the contributions of terrestrial water storage changes (TWSC) and post-glacial rebound (PGR) in GRACE(-FO) signals. The proposed method combines GRACE(-FO) fields and uplift rate measurements from GNSS stations, and incorporates uncertainties of prior information and observations. Validations against independent measurements show that the ConBay approach significantly improves PGR estimates and accurately updates long-term trends as well as seasonal and inter-annual components.

ALL EARTH (2022)

暂无数据