期刊
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
卷 33, 期 8, 页码 996-1004出版社
SCIENCE PRESS
DOI: 10.1007/s00376-016-5250-8
关键词
super El Nino; precursory air-sea signals; thermocline depth anomaly; ENSO
资金
- China National 973 Project [2015CB 453200]
- Jiangsu Province project [BK20150062]
- NSFC [41475084, 41376002, 41530426]
- ONR [N00014-16-12260]
- International Pacific Research Center - JAMSTEC
Statistically different precursory air-sea signals between a super and a regular El Nio group are investigated, using observed SST and rainfall data, and oceanic and atmospheric reanalysis data. The El Nio events during 1958-2008 are first separated into two groups: a super El Nio group (S-group) and a regular El Nio group (R-group). Composite analysis shows that a significantly larger SST anomaly (SSTA) tendency appears in S-group than in R-group during the onset phase [April-May(0)], when the positive SSTA is very small. A mixed-layer heat budget analysis indicates that the tendency difference arises primarily from the difference in zonal advective feedback and the associated zonal current anomaly (u'). This is attributed to the difference in the thermocline depth anomaly (D') over the off-equatorial western Pacific prior to the onset phase, as revealed by three ocean assimilation products. Such a difference in D' is caused by the difference in the wind stress curl anomaly in situ, which is mainly regulated by the anomalous SST and precipitation over the Maritime Continent and equatorial Pacific.
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