Increasing temperature seasonality may overwhelm shifts in soil moisture to favor shrub over grass dominance in Colorado Plateau drylands

Soil water dynamics at 15 locations distributed across a desert landscape: insights from a 27-yr dataset

(2018) Michael C. Duniway et al.   Ecosphere

Climate change-induced vegetation shifts lead to more ecological droughts despite projected rainfall increases in many global temperate drylands

(2017) Britta Tietjen et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Impacts of hydraulic redistribution on grass-tree competition vs facilitation in a semi-arid savanna

(2017) Greg A. Barron-Gafford et al.   NEW PHYTOLOGIST

Climate change reduces extent of temperate drylands and intensifies drought in deep soils

(2017) Daniel R. Schlaepfer et al.   Nature Communications

Weakening of the North American monsoon with global warming

(2017) Salvatore Pascale et al.   Nature Climate Change

Potential impacts of overlapping land-use and climate in a sensitive dryland: a case study of the Colorado Plateau, USA

(2017) Stella M. Copeland et al.   Ecosphere

Decadal shifts in grass and woody plant cover are driven by prolonged drying and modified by topo-edaphic properties

(2016) Seth M. Munson et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Beyond arctic and alpine: the influence of winter climate on temperate ecosystems

(2016) Laura M. Ladwig et al.   ECOLOGY

Changes in spatial variance during a grassland to shrubland state transition

(2016) Zak Ratajczak et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Desert grassland responses to climate and soil moisture suggest divergent vulnerabilities across the southwestern United States

(2015) Jennifer R. Gremer et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Long-term plant responses to climate are moderated by biophysical attributes in a North American desert

(2015) Seth M. Munson et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Accelerated dryland expansion under climate change

(2015) Jianping Huang et al.   Nature Climate Change

Unprecedented 21st century drought risk in the American Southwest and Central Plains

(2015) B. I. Cook et al.   Science Advances

Shifts in plant functional types have time-dependent and regionally variable impacts on dryland ecosystem water balance

(2015) John B. Bradford et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Temporal ecology in the Anthropocene

(2014) E. M. Wolkovich et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Grassland to shrubland state transitions enhance carbon sequestration in the northern Chihuahuan Desert

(2014) M. D. Petrie et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Quantifying drylands' drought resistance and recovery: the importance of drought intensity, dominant life history and grazing regime

(2014) Jan C. Ruppert et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Impacts of 21st-Century Climate Change on Hydrologic Extremes in the Pacific Northwest Region of North America

(2014) Ingrid M. Tohver et al.   JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN WATER RESOURCES ASSOCIATION

Experiment, monitoring, and gradient methods used to infer climate change effects on plant communities yield consistent patterns

(2014) Sarah C. Elmendorf et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Climate model genealogy: Generation CMIP5 and how we got there

(2013) Reto Knutti et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Modeling the effects of climate change projections on streamflow in the Nooksack River basin, Northwest Washington

(2013) Susan E. Dickerson-Lange et al.   HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES

A Long-Term Hydrologically Based Dataset of Land Surface Fluxes and States for the Conterminous United States: Update and Extensions

(2013) Ben Livneh et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Landscape and environmental controls over leaf and ecosystem carbon dioxide fluxes under woody plant expansion

(2013) Greg A. Barron-Gafford et al.   JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY

Woody plant encroachment facilitated by increased precipitation intensity

(2013) Andrew Kulmatiski et al.   Nature Climate Change

Evaluation of CMIP5 20thcentury climate simulations for the Pacific Northwest USA

(2013) David E. Rupp et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES

Timing of climate variability and grassland productivity

(2012) J. M. Craine et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Temperature as a potent driver of regional forest drought stress and tree mortality

(2012) A. Park Williams et al.   Nature Climate Change

Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models

(2012) Aiguo Dai   Nature Climate Change

Shifting species interactions in terrestrial dryland ecosystems under altered water availability and climate change

(2011) Kevin E. McCluney et al.   BIOLOGICAL REVIEWS

An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design

(2011) Karl E. Taylor et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Effects of ecohydrological variables on current and future ranges, local suitability patterns, and model accuracy in big sagebrush

(2011) Daniel R. Schlaepfer et al.   ECOGRAPHY

A synthetic review of feedbacks and drivers of shrub encroachment in arid grasslands

(2011) Paolo D'Odorico et al.   Ecohydrology

Hierarchical analysis of vegetation dynamics over 71 years: soil–rainfall interactions in a Chihuahuan Desert ecosystem

(2011) Dawn M. Browning et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Woody encroachment decreases diversity across North American grasslands and savannas

(2011) Zakary Ratajczak et al.   ECOLOGY

Positive plant interactions in the Iberian Southeast: Mechanisms, environmental gradients, and ecosystem function

(2011) F.I. Pugnaire et al.   JOURNAL OF ARID ENVIRONMENTS

Responses of wind erosion to climate-induced vegetation changes on the Colorado Plateau

(2011) S. M. Munson et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

On the brink of change: plant responses to climate on the Colorado Plateau

(2011) Seth M. Munson et al.   Ecosphere

Spatial and temporal patterns of water availability in a grass-shrub ecotone and implications for grassland recovery in arid environments

(2010) Michael C. Duniway et al.   Ecohydrology

Regional trends of daily precipitation indices in northwest Mexico and southwest United States

(2010) Sarahí Arriaga-Ramírez et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Inter- and under-canopy soil water, leaf-level and whole-plant gas exchange dynamics of a semi-arid perennial C4 grass

(2010) Erik P. Hamerlynck et al.   OECOLOGIA

Greenhouse warming and the 21st century hydroclimate of southwestern North America

(2010) R. Seager et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Future dryness in the southwest US and the hydrology of the early 21st century drought

(2010) D. R. Cayan et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Positive feedback between microclimate and shrub encroachment in the northern Chihuahuan desert

(2010) Paolo D'Odorico et al.   Ecosphere

Shrub encroachment can reverse desertification in semi-arid Mediterranean grasslands

(2009) Fernando T. Maestre et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

The ecology of dust

(2009) Jason P Field et al.   FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT

Soil-vegetation-climate interactions in arid landscapes: Effects of the North American monsoon on grass recruitment

(2009) Debra P.C. Peters et al.   JOURNAL OF ARID ENVIRONMENTS

Distinguishing Pronounced Droughts in the Southwestern United States: Seasonality and Effects of Warmer Temperatures

(2009) Jeremy L. Weiss et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Soil Texture Drives Responses of Soil Respiration to Precipitation Pulses in the Sonoran Desert: Implications for Climate Change

(2008) Jessica M. Cable et al.   ECOSYSTEMS

Northern Annular Mode impact on spring climate in the western United States

(2008) Stephanie A. McAfee et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Shrub encroachment in North American grasslands: shifts in growth form dominance rapidly alters control of ecosystem carbon inputs

(2008) ALAN K. KNAPP et al.   GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

Shrub Invasion Decreases Diversity and Alters Community Stability in Northern Chihuahuan Desert Plant Communities

(2008) Selene Báez et al.   PLoS One