Aircraft engine degradation prognostics based on logistic regression and novel OS-ELM algorithm

Online sequential extreme learning machine (OS-ELM) learns data one-by-one or chunk-by-chunk, and the recursive least square (RLS) algorithm is commonly employed to train the topological parameters of OS-ELM. Since it is hard to guarantee the smallest estimation error of the state variable by the RLS, the regression performance of the OS-ELM easily fluctuates in practical applications. To address this gap, a new training approach of the OS-ELM using Kalman filter called KFOS-ELM is proposed, and state propagation is combined into extreme learning process to obtain the OS-ELM's topological parameters. Besides, an adaptive-weighted ensemble mechanism is developed and used to dynamically tune the weight coefficients of each KFOS-ELM in the learning network. The regression performance of the proposed methodology is evaluated using benchmark datasets. The simulation results show that proposed methods are superior to the OS-ELM and EOS-ELM in terms of the regression accuracy and stability without additional computational efforts. Furthermore, an enhanced multi-sensor prognostic model based on KFOS-ELM and logistic regression (LR) model is designed for remaining useful life (RUL) prediction of aircraft engine. The experimental results confirm our viewpoints. (C) 2018 Elsevier Masson SAS. All rights reserved.