4.6 Article

A multiscale analysis of drought and pluvial mechanisms for the Southeastern United States

期刊

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES
卷 119, 期 12, 页码 7348-7367

出版社

AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
DOI: 10.1002/2014JD021453

关键词

-

资金

  1. Princeton TIGRESS high-performance computer center
  2. NOAA Climate Program Office [NA08OAR4310579, NA11OAR4310097]
  3. USGS [G11AP20215]
  4. Princeton Institute for Computational Science and Engineering
  5. Princeton University Office of Information Technology's Research Computing department

向作者/读者索取更多资源

The Southeast (SE) U. S. has experienced several severe droughts over the past 30 years, with the most recent drought during 2006-2008 causing agricultural impacts of $1 billion. However, the mechanisms that lead to droughts over the region and their persistence have been poorly understood due to the region's humid coastal environment and its complex climate. In this study, we carry out a multiscale analysis of drought mechanisms for the SE U. S. over 1979-2008 using the North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR) to identify conditions associated with drought and contrast with those associated with pluvials. These conditions include land surface drought propagation, land-atmosphere feedbacks, regional moisture sources, persistent atmospheric patterns, and larger-scale oceanic conditions. Typical conditions for SE U. S. droughts (pluvials) are identified as follows: (1) weaker (stronger) southerly meridional fluxes and weaker (stronger) westerly zonal fluxes, (2) strong moisture flux divergence (convergence) by transient eddies, and (3) strong (weak) coupling between the land surface and atmosphere. The NARR demonstrates that historic SE droughts are mainly derived from a combination of a strong North Atlantic subtropical high (NASH) and Icelandic Low (IL) during summer and winter, respectively, which peak 1 month earlier than the onset of the drought. The land surface plays a moderate role in drought occurrence over the SE via recycling of precipitation, and the oceans show an asymmetric influence on droughts and pluvials depending on the season. This study suggests that the NASH and IL can be used as a predictor for SE droughts at 1 month lead despite the overall that it represents an atmospheric forcing.

作者

我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。

评论

主要评分

4.6
评分不足

次要评分

新颖性
-
重要性
-
科学严谨性
-
评价这篇论文

推荐

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Sub-Seasonal Experiment (SubX) Model-based Assessment of the Prediction Skill of Recent Multi-Year South Korea Droughts

Chang-Kyun Park, Jonghun Kam

Summary: Reliable sub-seasonal precipitation forecast is crucial for managing multi-year droughts in a timely manner. This study assessed the prediction skill of five Sub-seasonal Experiment (SubX) models for precipitation during recent multi-year South Korea droughts using various verification metrics. The results indicate that the prediction skill of the SubX models varied depending on the stage, event, and model during the droughts. The EMC-GEFSv12 model with 11 ensemble members showed the highest forecasting skill.

ASIA-PACIFIC JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES (2023)

Article Engineering, Civil

Past and future changes toward earlier timing of streamflow over Pakistan from bias-corrected regional climate projections (1962-2099)

Shahid Ali, Byeong-Hee Kim, Taimoor Akhtar, Jonghun Kam

Summary: Pakistan is facing seasonal changes in streamflow, leading to a scarcity of water resources for agriculture. This study evaluated the past and future changes in streamflow timing along the four major rivers of Pakistan using observational data and bias-corrected hydrological projections.

JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY (2023)

Article Environmental Sciences

Cooperative adaptive management of the Nile River with climate and socio-economic uncertainties

Mohammed Basheer, Victor Nechifor, Alvaro Calzadilla, Solomon Gebrechorkos, David Pritchard, Nathan Forsythe, Jose M. Gonzalez, Justin Sheffield, Hayley J. Fowler, Julien J. Harou

Summary: The uncertainties of climate change present challenges for managing the Nile River system, given the increasing demands for river-related services and political tensions among riparian countries. Cooperative adaptive management can help alleviate these stresses and tensions.

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2023)

Article Green & Sustainable Science & Technology

Designing diversified renewable energy systems to balance multisector performance

Jose M. Gonzalez, James E. Tomlinson, Eduardo A. Martinez Cesena, Mohammed Basheer, Emmanuel Obuobie, Philip T. Padi, Salifu Addo, Rasheed Baisie, Mikiyas Etichia, Anthony Hurford, Andrea Bottacin-Busolin, John Matthews, James Dalton, D. Mark Smith, Justin Sheffield, Mathaios Panteli, Julien J. Harou

Summary: A multi-objective design framework assisted by artificial intelligence is used in Ghana to explore optimized management and investment strategies for balancing hydropower, bioenergy, solar and wind energies, and their impacts. The development of renewable energy systems and improved operation play a crucial role in mitigating climate change. However, relying solely on hydropower integration to counterbalance intermittent renewables can have negative effects on aquatic ecosystems and increase water conflicts across sectors, highlighting the need for diversified investment strategies.

NATURE SUSTAINABILITY (2023)

Article Environmental Sciences

Rain-fed to irrigation-fed transition of agriculture exacerbates meteorological drought in cropped regions but moderates elsewhere

Sungyoon Kim, Mukesh Kumar, Jonghun Kam

Summary: This study investigates the impact of irrigated agriculture expansion on precipitation in the Southeastern United States. The results show that the expansion of irrigation reduces convective triggering potential and low-level humidity index, while increasing convective available potential energy. However, the impact on precipitation is heterogeneous, with irrigated areas experiencing a reduction in precipitation while other landcovers experiencing an increase.

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2023)

Article Water Resources

Spatio-temporal characteristics and driving factors of the meteorological drought across China based on CMIP6

Mengru Zhang, Xiaoli Yang, Ming Pan, Linyan Zhang, Xiuqin Fang, Justin Sheffield

Summary: The characteristics of meteorological drought in different river basins in China vary spatially and temporally, and this variation is also reflected in the influence of meteorological drought in different watersheds. This study investigates the future meteorological drought risk under different emission scenarios and explores the impact of precipitation and temperature on meteorological drought in different basins in China. The study also considers the uncertainty associated with CMIP6 in different watersheds. The results show a decreasing trend in the frequency of meteorological drought events in the future, but an increase in drought intensity and duration. Precipitation plays a major role in meteorological drought, especially in the northeast and southeast basins of China.

HYDROLOGY RESEARCH (2023)

Article Engineering, Civil

Multicriteria land cover design via coupled hydrologic and multi-sector water management models

Tomasz Janus, James Tomlinson, Daniela Anghileri, Justin Sheffield, Stefan Kollet, Julien J. Harou

Summary: This study investigates the impact of hydrologic-land feedbacks and a hydrologic-water management linkage on optimized land cover arrangements within a multiobjective land cover design framework. It integrates a spatially-distributed and physically-based hydrologic model with a network-based multi-sector water resources management model. Results show that trade-offs between water, food, energy, and environment objectives depend on land cover composition and spatial arrangement. The study demonstrates the added benefits of coupling distributed hydrologic models with water management simulation for multisector multicriteria land cover planning.

JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY (2023)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

A global transition to flash droughts under climate change

Xing Yuan, Yumiao Wang, Peng Ji, Peili Wu, Justin Sheffield, Jason A. Otkin

Summary: Flash droughts have become increasingly common worldwide, posing challenges to drought monitoring and prediction. The intensification of droughts has accelerated over subseasonal time scales, leading to a transition towards more flash droughts in 74% of global regions over the past 64 years. This transition is linked to amplified anomalies in evapotranspiration and precipitation deficit due to human-induced climate change. In the future, this transition is expected to expand to most land areas, with greater increases under higher-emission scenarios. These findings highlight the urgency of adapting to faster-onset droughts in a warmer future.

SCIENCE (2023)

Article Green & Sustainable Science & Technology

Linking household access to food and social capital typologies in Phalombe District, Malawi

Ailish Craig, Craig Hutton, Laura A. A. Lewis, Frank B. B. Musa, Justin Sheffield

Summary: This study examines the association between typologies of social capital and household food security in Southern Malawi, with a focus on access to food. The findings show that bonding and bridging social capital are associated with better household access to food, while linking social capital is associated with lower access to food. The study also suggests that female-headed households prioritize linking social capital, while male-headed households prioritize bonding social capital.

SUSTAINABILITY SCIENCE (2023)

Article Engineering, Chemical

Monitoring the impact of climate extremes and COVID-19 on statewise sentiment alterations in water pollution complaints

Anqi Liu, Jonghun Kam, Sae Yun Kwon, Wanyun Shao

Summary: Through sentiment analysis of over 10,000 water pollution complaints from residents in Alabama, USA (2012-2021), this study finds that the 2017 state-wise drought increased negative water pollution complaints by +35%. Since COVID-19, there has been a significant decrease in negative and subjective water pollution complaints by -30% and an increase by +20%, respectively, and these sentiment changes have persisted until 2021. This study highlights the importance of timely response to changes in public emotions and attitudes in environmental governance and management.

NPJ CLEAN WATER (2023)

Article Environmental Sciences

Sub-seasonal to seasonal outlook of the 2022-23 southwestern Korea meteorological drought

Chang-Kyun Park, Sangeun Lee, Hyuncheol Yoon, Jonghun Kam

Summary: This study investigates the meteorological drought caused by cumulative precipitation deficits in the southwestern Korean Peninsula since early spring 2022 and predicts the sub-seasonal and seasonal outlooks of the drought using probabilistic and climate model-based forecasts. The results show that both springtime and summertime precipitation deficits in 2022 contribute equally to the ongoing drought, with the six-month accumulated precipitation deficit being a key driver. At least 80, 150, and 210 mm of precipitation are required for recovery in March, April, and May 2023, respectively.

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2023)

Article Engineering, Civil

Deciphering the black box of deep learning for multi-purpose dam operation modeling via explainable scenarios

Eunmi Lee, Jonghun Kam

Summary: This study aims to assess the explainability of a deep learning model for the multi-purpose dam operation and provides insights into how the model responds to different inputs. The results show that the trained model performs well in predicting water levels and exhibits different responses to changes in input data.

JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY (2023)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

A model-based groundwater recharge zone mapping for food security: A case study of Notwane sub-catchment in Botswana

Catherine Tlotlo Kerapetse, Jean-Marie Kileshye Onema, Webster Gumindoga, Cosmo Ngongondo, Justin Sheffield

Summary: The understanding of groundwater recharge occurrence in drylands is essential for water resources management. This study used Remote Sensing and GIS techniques to identify potential groundwater recharge zones and predicted crop yield. The results showed changes in land cover and suggested the existence of water resources for food security in water-scarce drylands.

PHYSICS AND CHEMISTRY OF THE EARTH (2023)

Article Humanities, Multidisciplinary

Evidence of the time-varying impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on online search activities relating to shopping products in South Korea

Jiam Song, Kwangmin Jung, Jonghun Kam

Summary: This study examines the temporal changes in online search activities for shopping products by the public during the COVID-19 pandemic, using NAVER DataLab Shopping Insight (NDLSI) data. The findings suggest that these changes are closely associated with the COVID-19 prevention policies and risk of exposure to the virus variants.

HUMANITIES & SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS (2023)

Article Environmental Sciences

High Resolution Mapping of Nitrate Loads of a Reservoir Using an Uncrewed Surface Vehicle: Potential Opportunities and Challenges

Kwang-Hun Lee, Shahid Ali, Yena Kim, Kitack Lee, Sae Yun Kwon, Jonghun Kam

Summary: This study aims to estimate the nitrate loads of a reservoir in South Korea using uncrewed surface vehicles (USV). The results show that a point measurement of water depths and nitrate concentrations can cause underestimation of nitrate loads, particularly after intense rainfall events.

WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH (2023)

暂无数据