State-space models’ dirty little secrets: even simple linear Gaussian models can have estimation problems

TMB: Automatic Differentiation and Laplace Approximation

(2016) Kasper Kristensen et al.   Journal of Statistical Software

Declines in migrant shorebird populations from a winter-quarter perspective

(2015) Robert E. Simmons et al.   CONSERVATION BIOLOGY

Home ranges in moving habitats: polar bears and sea ice

(2015) Marie Auger-Méthé et al.   ECOGRAPHY

Fast fitting of non-Gaussian state-space models to animal movement data via Template Model Builder

(2015) Christoffer Moesgaard Albertsen et al.   ECOLOGY

AnRPackage for Dynamic Linear Models

(2015) Giovanni Petris   Journal of Statistical Software

State Space Models inR

(2015) Giovanni Petris et al.   Journal of Statistical Software

Spatiotemporal trends and drivers of population dynamics in a declining Sonoran Desert predator

(2014) Aaron D. Flesch   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

Forecasting Influenza Epidemics from Multi-Stream Surveillance Data in a Subtropical City of China

(2014) Pei-Hua Cao et al.   PLoS One

A mid-term analysis of progress toward international biodiversity targets

(2014) D. P. Tittensor et al.   SCIENCE

An ANOVA test for parameter estimability using data cloning with application to statistical inference for dynamic systems

(2013) David Campbell et al.   COMPUTATIONAL STATISTICS & DATA ANALYSIS

Estimating long-term tree mortality rate time series by combining data from periodic inventories and harvest reports in a Bayesian state-space model

(2013) Katalin Csilléry et al.   FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT

Reconstruction and prediction of invasive mongoose population dynamics from history of introduction and management: a Bayesian state-space modelling approach

(2013) Keita Fukasawa et al.   JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY

The importance of observation versus process error in analyses of global ungulate populations

(2013) Farshid S. Ahrestani et al.   Scientific Reports

‘Each site has its own survival probability, but information is borrowed across sites to tell us about survival in each site’: random effects models as means of borrowing strength in survival studies of wild vertebrates

(2012) E. Cam   ANIMAL CONSERVATION

A general discrete-time modeling framework for animal movement using multistate random walks

(2012) Brett T. McClintock et al.   ECOLOGICAL MONOGRAPHS

A biologist’s guide to assessing ocean currents: a review

(2012) S Fossette et al.   MARINE ECOLOGY PROGRESS SERIES

Analyzing Variability and the Rate of Decline of Migratory Shorebirds in Moreton Bay, Australia

(2011) HOWARD B. WILSON et al.   CONSERVATION BIOLOGY

Estimation methods for nonlinear state-space models in ecology

(2011) M.W. Pedersen et al.   ECOLOGICAL MODELLING

Estimability and Likelihood Inference for Generalized Linear Mixed Models Using Data Cloning

(2011) Subhash R. Lele et al.   JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION

AD Model Builder: using automatic differentiation for statistical inference of highly parameterized complex nonlinear models

(2011) David A. Fournier et al.   OPTIMIZATION METHODS & SOFTWARE

A comparison of satellite-derived sea-ice motion with drifting-buoy data in the Weddell Sea, Antarctica

(2011) Sandra Schwegmann et al.   ANNALS OF GLACIOLOGY

Predicting survival, reproduction and abundance of polar bears under climate change

(2010) Péter K. Molnár et al.   BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION

Replicated sampling increases efficiency in monitoring biological populations

(2010) Brian Dennis et al.   ECOLOGY

Model complexity and information in the data: Could it be a house built on sand?

(2010) Subhash R. Lele   ECOLOGY

Analysis of ecological time series with ARMA(p,q) models

(2010) Anthony R. Ives et al.   ECOLOGY

Estimating behavioral parameters in animal movement models using a state-augmented particle filter

(2010) Michael Dowd et al.   ECOLOGY

Global positioning system and associated technologies in animal behaviour and ecological research

(2010) S. M. Tomkiewicz et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Hierarchical State-Space Estimation of Leatherback Turtle Navigation Ability

(2010) Joanna Mills Flemming et al.   PLoS One

Accounting for uncertainty in ecological analysis: the strengths and limitations of hierarchical statistical modeling

(2009) Noel Cressie et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Bayesian methods for hierarchical models: Are ecologists making a Faustian bargain

(2009) Subhash R. Lele et al.   ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS

Likelihood ridges and multimodality in population growth rate models

(2009) Leo Polansky et al.   ECOLOGY

A better way to estimate population trends

(2009) Jean-Yves Humbert et al.   OIKOS

ESTIMABILITY OF DENSITY DEPENDENCE IN MODELS OF TIME SERIES DATA

(2008) Jonas Knape   ECOLOGY

CONTINUOUS-TIME CORRELATED RANDOM WALK MODEL FOR ANIMAL TELEMETRY DATA

(2008) Devin S. Johnson et al.   ECOLOGY

State–space models of individual animal movement

(2008) T PATTERSON et al.   TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION