期刊
TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART D-TRANSPORT AND ENVIRONMENT
卷 17, 期 8, 页码 592-597出版社
PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.trd.2012.07.004
关键词
Electric vehicles; Battery electric vehicles; Plug-in hybrid electric vehicles
资金
- Department of Environment, Nature and Energy (Leefmilieu, Natuur en Energie, LNE) of the Flemish government
This paper considers the market potential for battery electric and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles in Flanders, Belgium. Making use of a large-scale survey conducted in 2011 and applying a choice-based conjoint experiment, it is predicted that by 2020, battery electric vehicles could have a market share of about 5% of new vehicles, and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles could have a share of around 7%. By 2030, these figures could increase to 15% and 29%. The speed of up-take of electric vehicles, however, is sensitive to purchase costs. (C) 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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