Early warning signals of simulated Amazon rainforest dieback

High sensitivity of future global warming to land carbon cycle processes

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Comparing Tropical Forest Projections from Two Generations of Hadley Centre Earth System Models, HadGEM2-ES and HadCM3LC

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Slowing Down in Spatially Patterned Ecosystems at the Brink of Collapse

(2011) Vasilis Dakos et al.   AMERICAN NATURALIST

Robustness of variance and autocorrelation as indicators of critical slowing down

(2011) Vasilis Dakos et al.   ECOLOGY

Quantifying Environmental Drivers of Future Tropical Forest Extent

(2011) Peter Good et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

The 2010 Amazon Drought

(2011) S. L. Lewis et al.   SCIENCE

Global Resilience of Tropical Forest and Savanna to Critical Transitions

(2011) M. Hirota et al.   SCIENCE

The Global Extent and Determinants of Savanna and Forest as Alternative Biome States

(2011) A. C. Staver et al.   SCIENCE

Early warning of climate tipping points

(2011) Timothy M. Lenton   Nature Climate Change

Climate model errors, feedbacks and forcings: a comparison of perturbed physics and multi-model ensembles

(2010) Matthew Collins et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Testing for criticality in ecosystem dynamics: the case of Amazonian rainforest and savanna fire

(2010) Salvador Pueyo et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Early-warning signals for critical transitions

(2009) Marten Scheffer et al.   NATURE

Committed terrestrial ecosystem changes due to climate change

(2009) Chris Jones et al.   Nature Geoscience

Imprecise probability assessment of tipping points in the climate system

(2009) E. Kriegler et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Exploring the likelihood and mechanism of a climate-change-induced dieback of the Amazon rainforest

(2009) Y. Malhi et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Drought Sensitivity of the Amazon Rainforest

(2009) O. L. Phillips et al.   SCIENCE

Changing skewness: an early warning signal of regime shifts in ecosystems

(2008) Vishwesha Guttal et al.   ECOLOGY LETTERS

Effects of Twenty-First-Century Climate Change on the Amazon Rain Forest

(2008) Kerry H. Cook et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Increasing risk of Amazonian drought due to decreasing aerosol pollution

(2008) Peter M. Cox et al.   NATURE

Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change

(2008) V. Dakos et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system

(2008) T. M. Lenton et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA