Article
Environmental Sciences
Yicheng Tan, Wei Zhang, Xiangbo Feng, Yipeng Guo, A. J. F. Hoitink
Summary: In this study, it was found that the interannual variability of observed storm surge levels can be explained and predicted through a process-based study in Hong Kong. The impact of El Nino-Southern Oscillation on storm surge levels was found to be influenced by tropical cyclones (TCs) and other forcing factors. After removing the ENSO effect, the occurrence frequencies of local and remote TCs were responsible for the remaining variability in storm surge levels. The statistical prediction model formed by ENSO and TC indices showed good skill in predicting extreme storm surge levels.
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2023)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Meraj Sohrabi, Hamed Moftakhari, Hamid Moradkhani
Summary: The incidence of climate-related disasters is increasing, requiring intensified anticipatory action. This study proposes a dependence-informed sampling scheme to reduce the complexity of the problem and select scenarios with the highest cumulative likelihood of potential impact. Analysis of historical tropical cyclone records near the coast of Texas demonstrates the usefulness of this approach in improving hazard risk assessment efficiency and providing reliable information at a lower cost.
Article
Engineering, Civil
Kousik Das, Soumyajit Sarkar, Abhijit Mukherjee, Prerona Das, Amey Pathak
Summary: The study found that ocean tides and storm waves have instantaneous, rapid, and synchronous effects on coastal groundwater levels, especially in the Ganges river mega-delta, one of the world's most extreme climate-affected regions. Machine learning techniques can accurately predict the rise of groundwater levels in deeper aquifers during ocean wave surge events, but are unable to quantify the changes in shallower groundwater levels during storm events.
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
(2021)
Article
Engineering, Civil
Jun-Whan Lee, Jennifer L. Irish, Michelle T. Bensi, Douglas C. Marcy
Summary: A new surrogate model, the C1PKNet, is proposed in this study to rapidly predict peak storm surges across an extensive coastal region from time-series of tropical cyclone conditions. The model shows great performance in the Chesapeake Bay area and can enhance coastal resilience by providing rapid storm surge predictions.
COASTAL ENGINEERING
(2021)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Tim Willem Bart Leijnse, Alessio Giardino, Kees Nederhoff, Sofia Caires
Summary: This paper proposes a method to estimate design water levels and wave conditions using synthetic tropical cyclone tracks and wind fields, which is particularly important in regions with limited historical tropical cyclone events. The results show that synthetic tracks provide reliable estimates of the first-order hazard (wind speed) and can be used to compute the second-order hazards (storm surge and waves). Comparisons between historical and synthetic tracks demonstrate that the use of synthetic tracks leads to more accurate extreme value estimates and reduces the uncertainty in estimation.
NATURAL HAZARDS AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES
(2022)
Article
Engineering, Marine
Moleni Tu'uholoaki, Antonio Espejo, Moritz Wandres, Awnesh Singh, Herve Damlamian, Zulfikar Begg
Summary: The South Pacific region is vulnerable to extreme total water levels due to the lack of wide continental shelves that can dissipate waves. This study examined the waves and storm surge induced by severe TC Harold in 2020 on Tongatapu using advanced hydrodynamic and wave models. The contributions of winds, atmospheric pressure, waves, and wave-radiation-stress-induced setup to extreme total water levels were analysed. The suite of models used in this study can support the Tonga Meteorological Service Tropical Cyclone Early Warning System.
JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING
(2023)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Keith Adams, Mohammad Heidarzadeh
Summary: The February 2014 extratropical cyclonic storm chain caused significant damage to the English Channel and Dawlish, resulting in the closure of a main railway line for two months and substantial economic loss. However, the disaster management was successful, with immediate actions taken to save lives and property. Analysis revealed that wave impact force, along with wave reflection off a vertical wall, were the key factors contributing to the damage.
Article
Engineering, Marine
C. Gowri Shankar, Manasa Ranjan Behera
Summary: In a region like the Northern Indian Ocean basin, the study focused on the non-linear wave-wave interactions during cyclonic conditions by incorporating pre-existing wave effects into the numerical model. The results showed that using wave boundary conditions improved the agreement between simulated wave parameters and observed field data, as well as correlated well with in-situ measurements of surge.
Article
Agronomy
M. Christina, M-R Jones, A. Versini, M. Mezino, L. Le Mezo, S. Auzoux, J. C. Soulie, C. Poser, E. Gerardeaux
Summary: The study assessed the impacts of climatic variability and extreme events on sugarcane yield gaps in Reunion Island, revealing a correlation between sugarcane yield and extreme rainfall.
FIELD CROPS RESEARCH
(2021)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Md. Rezuanul Islam, Le Duc, Yohei Sawada
Summary: This study presents a method to analyze storm surge scenarios using a large ensemble forecast of tropical cyclones. The Pareto-optimized solutions from the ensemble forecast can efficiently describe potential worst and minimum storm surge scenarios, providing valuable insights for decision making. The analysis of meteorological variables in the ensemble members can help understand the impact of tropical cyclones on predicted storm surge scenarios.
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES
(2023)
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Shuai Wangl, Ning Lin, Avantika Gori
Summary: This study focuses on the parametric modeling of tropical cyclone (TC) wind fields and their applications in storm tide modeling. The results show that a simple empirical background-wind model combined with the rotation and scaling of the TC motion vector can capture the observed surface wind asymmetry effectively. Furthermore, a physics-based complete wind profile model connecting the inner core and outer region performs better than a wind analysis dataset for symmetric wind fields.
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Joseph W. Lockwood, Michael Oppenheimer, Ning Lin, Robert E. Kopp, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Avantika Gori
Summary: The future coastal flood hazard will be influenced by both tropical cyclone change and relative sea-level rise. Correlations between sea-level rise and tropical cyclone change suggest that neglecting their joint influence may lead to underestimation of future flood hazard.
Article
Engineering, Civil
Hiroshi Takagi, Le Tuan Anh, Md Rezuanul Islam, Tajnova Tanha Hossain
Summary: This study reviews the progress of disaster mitigation measures against tropical cyclones in Bangladesh, Vietnam, and Japan. The three countries have made advancements in reducing casualties through various measures, but also face new challenges in disaster management and budgeting.
COASTAL ENGINEERING JOURNAL
(2023)
Article
Engineering, Geological
Rezuanul Islam, Hiroshi Takagi
Summary: This study demonstrates a significant correlation between TC pre-landfall forward speed and maximum storm surge height, with the coastal morphology playing a determining role. Fast-moving TCs amplify storm surges along open coastlines but reduce their impact in semi-enclosed bays. These findings highlight the need for improved storm surge predictions and more precise early warnings for emergency management personnel.
GEORISK-ASSESSMENT AND MANAGEMENT OF RISK FOR ENGINEERED SYSTEMS AND GEOHAZARDS
(2021)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Wei-Ting Chao, Chih-Chieh Young
Summary: This paper proposes a hybrid model combining parametric cyclone and neural network for accurate and long lead-time storm surge prediction. The model is applied in the northeastern coastal region of Taiwan and has shown excellent performance in reducing complexity and retaining important typhoon indicators, leading to improved accuracy in surge prediction.
Article
Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Md Rezuanul Islam, Masaki Satoh, Hiroshi Takagi
Summary: This study found that storm surge heights have increased in coastal regions of Central Japan, especially Tokyo Bay, over the past 20 years. This increase is attributed to the stronger and larger tropical cyclones during landfall, as well as the increased frequency of cyclones with northeastward tracks. The positive correlation between surge heights and a hazard index further supports these findings.
JOURNAL OF THE METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY OF JAPAN
(2022)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Tomoyuki Takabatake, Dawn Han Chenxi, Miguel Esteban, Tomoya Shibayama
Summary: This study developed an agent-based tsunami evacuation simulation model to investigate the influence of seismic damage to buildings and road blockage on tsunami evacuation and expected casualties. The results showed that considering building collapse and road blockage significantly increased the expected mortality rates.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
(2022)
Article
Oceanography
Tomoyuki Takabatake, Dawn Chenxi Han, Justin Joseph Valdez, Naoto Inagaki, Martin Mall, Miguel Esteban, Tomoya Shibayama
Summary: This study investigates the characteristics of partially submerged landslide-tsunamis through laboratory experiments and develops a predictive equation to estimate their heights. The results show that wave amplitude, period, celerity, and wavelength do not vary significantly according to propagation angles, but wave dispersion has a significant impact on the propagation process. The volume of a landslide has a greater effect on the height of a partially submerged landslide-tsunami than other parameters.
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS
(2022)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Tomoyuki Takabatake, Miguel Esteban, Tomoya Shibayama
Summary: This study investigates the effectiveness of coastal forests in reducing tsunami-related casualties using simulation models. The results show that coastal forests can reduce casualty rates, but constructing a dyke that can withstand tsunami overflow is more effective. Furthermore, combining coastal forests and a dyke is more effective than using either measure alone.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
(2022)
Article
Engineering, Civil
Jon Arnel S. Telan, Lessandro Estelito O. Garciano, Mario P. P. De Leon, Tomoya Shibayama
Summary: This study aimed to determine the structural resilience of the pile-supported piers of the Port of Batangas against tsunami loads. It found that the pier with existing batter piles exhibited higher resilience than the one supported by vertical piles in almost 50% of the tsunami load cases.
NATURAL HAZARDS REVIEW
(2023)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Daniella Hirschfeld, David Behar, Robert J. Nicholls, Niamh Cahill, Thomas James, Benjamin P. Horton, Michelle E. Portman, Rob Bell, Matthew Campo, Miguel Esteban, Bronwyn Goble, Munsur Rahman, Kwasi Appeaning Addo, Faiz Ahmed Chundeli, Monique Aunger, Orly Babitsky, Anders Beal, Ray Boyle, Jiayi Fang, Amir Gohar, Susan Hanson, Saul Karamesines, M. J. Kim, Hilary Lohmann, Kathy McInnes, Nobuo Mimura, Doug Ramsay, Landis Wenger, Hiromune Yokoki
Summary: Including sea-level rise (SLR) projections in coastal adaptation planning is crucial, but only 72% of coastal practitioners currently utilize them, with lower utilization in developing countries. There is no global standard in the use of SLR projections, but countries with histories of adaptation and consistent national support show greater assimilation of SLR projections.
COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT
(2023)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Dawn Chenxi Han, Tomoyuki Takabatake, Miguel Esteban, Tomoya Shibayama
Summary: This study proposes the use of a smartphone application as a soft countermeasure to aid with smooth evacuation in the event of a tsunami. By using a GPS-positioning system and accurately reproducing the location of refuge places, the application can guide users to their own location and the designated refuge sites.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
(2023)
Article
Engineering, Civil
Takumu Iwamoto, Tomohiro Takagawa, Tomoya Shibayama, Miguel Esteban, Martin Mall
Summary: Wind and atmospheric pressure are the main factors in generating storm surges caused by tropical cyclones. However, meteorological models can sometimes have deviations from actual observations. This study proposes a method called GWB-M that modifies both wind and pressure fields in meteorological models based on the dynamic relationship between wind and pressure in typhoons. The GWB-M method is assessed using a storm surge hindcast of Typhoon Faxai in 2019 and shows improvements in wind speed, sea level pressure, and accuracy in capturing maximum sea level anomalies.
COASTAL ENGINEERING JOURNAL
(2023)
Article
Engineering, Civil
Hiroshi Takagi, Le Tuan Anh, Md Rezuanul Islam, Tajnova Tanha Hossain
Summary: This study reviews the progress of disaster mitigation measures against tropical cyclones in Bangladesh, Vietnam, and Japan. The three countries have made advancements in reducing casualties through various measures, but also face new challenges in disaster management and budgeting.
COASTAL ENGINEERING JOURNAL
(2023)
Article
Engineering, Civil
Justin Joseph Valdez, Tomoya Shibayama, Tomoyuki Takabatake, Miguel Esteban
Summary: The impacts of storm surge on a public school building in Tacloban during Typhoon Haiyan were analyzed using a coupled model, indicating the significance of considering flood loads in the design of essential structures.
COASTAL ENGINEERING JOURNAL
(2023)
Article
Engineering, Civil
Naoto Inagaki, Tomoya Shibayama, Tomoyuki Takabatake, Miguel Esteban, Martin Mall, Thit Oo Kyaw
Summary: This study developed a new numerical model that considers the dynamic interaction of air and water to accurately estimate wave overtopping during typhoons. The model performs well in estimating overtopping rates under strong winds, but further improvements are needed to accurately predict experimental results.
COASTAL ENGINEERING JOURNAL
(2022)
