4.2 Article

Prediction intervals for general balanced linear random models

期刊

JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL PLANNING AND INFERENCE
卷 138, 期 10, 页码 3164-3175

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ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2008.01.001

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generalized confidence interval; generalized p-value; variance component

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The main interest of prediction intervals lies in the results of a future sample from a previously sampled population. In this article, we develop procedures for the prediction intervals which contain all of a fixed number of future observations for general balanced linear random models. Two methods based on the concept of a generalized pivotal quantity (GPQ) and one based on ANOVA estimators are presented. A simulation study using the balanced one-way random model is conducted to evaluate the proposed methods. It is shown that one of the two GPQ-based and the ANOVA-based methods are computationally more efficient and they also successfully maintain the simulated coverage probabilities close to the nominal confidence level. Hence, they are recommended for practical use. In addition, one example is given to illustrate the applicability of the recommended methods. (C) 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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