Analyzing precipitation projections: A comparison of different approaches to climate model evaluation

What does it mean when climate models agree? A case for assessing independence among general circulation models

(2010) Zachary Pirtle et al.   ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & POLICY

Reliability of the CMIP3 ensemble

(2010) J. D. Annan et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Risks of Model Weighting in Multimodel Climate Projections

(2010) Andreas P. Weigel et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Ocean Heat Transport as a Cause for Model Uncertainty in Projected Arctic Warming

(2010) Irina Mahlstein et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Weighting of model results for improving best estimates of climate change

(2009) Jouni Räisänen et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Refining rainfall projections for the Murray Darling Basin of south-east Australia—the effect of sampling model results based on performance

(2009) Ian Smith et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Deep ocean heat uptake as a major source of spread in transient climate change simulations

(2009) J. Boé et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Climate projections: Past performance no guarantee of future skill?

(2009) C. Reifen et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Challenges in Combining Projections from Multiple Climate Models

(2009) Reto Knutti et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Greenhouse-gas emission targets for limiting global warming to 2 °C

(2009) Malte Meinshausen et al.   NATURE

September sea-ice cover in the Arctic Ocean projected to vanish by 2100

(2009) Julien Boé et al.   Nature Geoscience

Incorporating model quality information in climate change detection and attribution studies

(2009) B. D. Santer et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Selecting global climate models for regional climate change studies

(2009) D. W. Pierce et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

A projection of future changes in summer precipitation and monsoon in East Asia

(2009) Ying Sun et al.   Science China-Earth Sciences

How Well Do Coupled Models Simulate Today's Climate?

(2008) Thomas Reichler et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Do weak AR4 models bias projections of future climate changes over Australia?

(2008) S. E. Perkins et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Evaluating the present-day simulation of clouds, precipitation, and radiation in climate models

(2008) Robert Pincus et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Performance metrics for climate models

(2008) P. J. Gleckler et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH

Spatial Analysis to Quantify Numerical Model Bias and Dependence

(2008) Mikyoung Jun et al.   JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION

Joint projections of temperature and precipitation change from multiple climate models: a hierarchical Bayesian approach

(2008) Claudia Tebaldi et al.   JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES A-STATISTICS IN SOCIETY