Present-day interannual variability of surface climate in CMIP3 models and its relation to future warming

Risks of Model Weighting in Multimodel Climate Projections

(2010) Andreas P. Weigel et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

Climate projections: Past performance no guarantee of future skill?

(2009) C. Reifen et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Challenges in Combining Projections from Multiple Climate Models

(2009) Reto Knutti et al.   JOURNAL OF CLIMATE

How Well Do Coupled Models Simulate Today's Climate?

(2008) Thomas Reichler et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Toward Seamless Prediction: Calibration of Climate Change Projections Using Seasonal Forecasts

(2008) T. N. Palmer et al.   BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY

Future changes in daily summer temperature variability: driving processes and role for temperature extremes

(2008) Erich M. Fischer et al.   CLIMATE DYNAMICS

Performance metrics for climate models

(2008) P. J. Gleckler et al.   JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH