Article
Engineering, Civil
Tommaso Lazzarin, Daniele P. Viero, Daniela Molinari, Francesco Ballio, Andrea Defina
Summary: In this paper, a physics-based method for assessing flood damage is proposed. A non-dimensional impact parameter is introduced to combine water depth and flow velocity, which allows for evaluating relative damage functions for items of different nature. This method provides an understandable assessment of flood hazard even with limited data.
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
(2022)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Neslihan Beden, Asli Ulke Keskin
Summary: This study aimed to conduct flood analysis in the Ceviz Stream basin in Unye district, Turkey using the MIKE FLOOD software, estimating the total flood damage in the built-up area. The modeling results showed varying degrees of negative impact from floodwaters in different discharge scenarios in the downstream section of the basin. Various damage estimation methodologies were applied, with the highest financial costs estimated using the Pistrika and Jonkman method.
Article
Engineering, Industrial
Md Golam Rabbani Fahad, Rouzbeh Nazari, M. H. Motamedi, Maryam Karimi
Summary: The accurate assessment of flood damage and structural resiliency is crucial for coastal communities. This study presents a comprehensive approach to quantify community-scale flood damage and structural resiliency by simulating large-scale coastal flooding and integrating a multidimensional flood-damage assessment model. The results indicate the framework's universal applicability and scalability.
RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Thijs Endendijk, W. J. Wouter Botzen, Hans de Moel, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts, Kymo Slager, Matthijs Kok
Summary: Flood events are projected to increase in frequency and severity, resulting in a higher flood risk. The use of flood risk models is crucial for effective disaster risk management, but vulnerability estimations and flood damage data are often limited. This study utilizes a unique dataset and finds that flood damage mitigation measures significantly reduce flood damage.
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH
(2023)
Article
Construction & Building Technology
Omar M. Nofal, John W. van de Lindt, Harvey Cutler, Martin Shields, Kevin Crofton
Summary: The increasing number of flood disasters across the globe has highlighted the vulnerability of communities. Early flood warnings can provide additional time for households and businesses to protect possessions, ultimately reducing losses.
Article
Environmental Sciences
Nivedita Sairam, Fabio Brill, Tobias Sieg, Mostafa Farrag, Patric Kellermann, Viet Dung Nguyen, Stefan Luedtke, Bruno Merz, Kai Schroeter, Sergiy Vorogushyn, Heidi Kreibich
Summary: Large-scale flood risk assessments are crucial for decision making, and the RFM has been used to simulate a 5000-year flood event catalog for all major catchments in Germany. The commercial sector dominates the total risk, while the agriculture sector contributes less than 3%. The spatially consistent risk estimates provided by RFM will serve as a benchmark for future German-wide flood risk assessments.
Review
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Mark Bawa Malgwi, Matthias Schlogl, Margreth Keiler
Summary: The study compares expert-based and data-driven approaches for flood damage modeling in data-scarce regions, showing that comparable model performance can be achieved even with a reduced number of variables. Additionally, experts are likely to underestimate damage at low water depths, and differences in conformity to building standards can add challenges to flood damage prediction.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
(2021)
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Arvind Chandra Pandey, Kavita Kaushik, Bikash Ranjan Parida
Summary: This study provides a spatial assessment of the recent flood disaster in the Ganga-Brahmaputra basin, highlighting the areas most affected in Bangladesh, Bihar, West Bengal, and Assam. Floods have had adverse impacts on agricultural lands, settlements, and have affected a population of 23.29 million. The findings of this study are vital for decision-makers to implement flood risk reduction and mitigation strategies.
Article
Environmental Sciences
Yadong Zhang, Zongkun Li, Wei Ge, Xudong Chen, Hongyin Xu, Xinyan Guo, Te Wang
Summary: This study discusses the factors influencing the impacts of extreme floods on plants, as well as proposes indices to represent these impacts regionally and over the entire inundated area. The calculation methods of these indices considering plant biomass and the comprehensive influence coefficient are presented. Results from a simulation of dam-break flood in Luhun Reservoir in China showed variations in the impacts of floods on different types of vegetation in the inundated area. Both unit risk biomass and total risk biomass changed with time, affected by crop species, parameters, and temperature.
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
(2021)
Review
Environmental Sciences
Wei Ding, Jidong Wu, Rumei Tang, Xiaojuan Chen, Yingjun Xu
Summary: China, one of the countries severely affected by floods, has implemented effective measures to reduce flood risk, but still faces challenges from climate change and urbanization. Further improvements in flood risk management system are needed in China to address these challenges.
Article
Environmental Sciences
Yadong Zhang, Zongkun Li, Jianyou Wang, Wei Ge, Xudong Chen
Summary: This study proposes a new method to evaluate the negative impacts of dam-break floods on the environment. By considering factors such as geomorphic changes, water pollution, plant biomass loss, and biodiversity loss, an index system is established to calculate the environmental impact. The results show that geomorphic changes and water pollution contribute the most to the overall environmental impact in the inundated area.
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Ryan Paulik, Alec Wild, Conrad Zorn, Liam Wotherspoon
Summary: This study presents a novel approach to assess flood damage in New Zealand, using a collected database from five flood events. The results show that flood inundation depth and flow velocity are important factors influencing building damage, and that internal finishes components contribute significantly to total building damage. The findings have implications for the development of damage models and suggest the need for combining empirical and synthetic damage data for more accurate assessments.
JOURNAL OF FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT
(2022)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Omar Seleem, Georgy Ayzel, Arthur Costa Tomaz de Souza, Axel Bronstert, Maik Heistermann
Summary: Identifying urban areas prone to pluvial flooding is important, but the use of traditional hydrodynamic models is limited. This study explores the use of data-driven models, such as convolutional neural network, artificial neural network, random forest, and support vector machine, to map flood susceptibility in Berlin. The models were validated and compared using different spatial resolutions. The results show that the random forest models performed the best and can be a reliable tool for flood susceptibility mapping, as long as a reliable flood inventory is available.
GEOMATICS NATURAL HAZARDS & RISK
(2022)
Article
Acoustics
Heye Xiao, ChiZhen Xu, Focai Yuan, Xudong Zhang, Junqiang Bai, Jie Zhou
Summary: This paper proposes nonlinear dynamic models of packaging systems considering different excitations and cushioning materials, and solves the nonlinear dynamic equations using a combination of the Newmark method and Newton-Arithmetic mean method. The results show the accuracy and effectiveness of the proposed method, and analyze the effects of excitation parameters on the dropping damage boundary curves (DDBCs) of the packaging systems.
SHOCK AND VIBRATION
(2022)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Judith Marie Poeschmann, Dongkyun Kim, Rico Kronenberg, Christian Bernhofer
Summary: The study revealed three distinct scaling regimes in the depth-duration relationship of maximum rainfall in Germany, with some extraordinary events deviating from the usual power law behavior. Additionally, the shape of this relationship varied with the sample size of radar pixels, where smaller sample sizes showed smooth scaling behavior and larger sample sizes highlighted the three distinct scaling regimes. A pixel-wise classification also identified three distinguishable types of scaling behavior determined by the temporal structure of extreme rainfall events at each pixel.
NATURAL HAZARDS AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES
(2021)
Article
Water Resources
Lukas Schoppa, Marlies Barendrecht, Tobias Sieg, Nivedita Sairam, Heidi Kreibich
Summary: This study introduces a socio-hydrological flood risk model that focuses on changes in vulnerability for companies and enhances the model with a sector-specific loss model to capture damage processes more realistically. Through a case study in Dresden, Germany, it is found that companies in the area increase exposure cautiously and actively reduce vulnerability through private precaution measures. The augmentation of the model improves the accuracy and reliability of flood loss estimates by incorporating informative predictors, a refined probabilistic model, and additional data.
HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL
(2022)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Heidi Kreibich, Anne F. Van Loon, Kai Schroeter, Philip J. Ward, Maurizio Mazzoleni, Nivedita Sairam, Guta Wakbulcho Abeshu, Svetlana Agafonova, Amir AghaKouchak, Hafzullah Aksoy, Camila Alvarez-Garreton, Blanca Aznar, Laila Balkhi, Marlies H. Barendrecht, Sylvain Biancamaria, Liduin Bos-Burgering, Chris Bradley, Yus Budiyono, Wouter Buytaert, Lucinda Capewell, Hayley Carlson, Yonca Cavus, Anais Couasnon, Gemma Coxon, Ioannis Daliakopoulos, Marleen C. de Ruiter, Claire Delus, Mathilde Erfurt, Giuseppe Esposito, Didier Francois, Frederic Frappart, Jim Freer, Natalia Frolova, Animesh K. Gain, Manolis Grillakis, Jordi Oriol Grima, Diego A. Guzman, Laurie S. Huning, Monica Ionita, Maxim Kharlamov, Dao Nguyen Khoi, Natalie Kieboom, Maria Kireeva, Aristeidis Koutroulis, Waldo Lavado-Casimiro, Hong-Yi Li, Maria Carmen LLasat, David Macdonald, Johanna Mard, Hannah Mathew-Richards, Andrew McKenzie, Alfonso Mejia, Eduardo Mario Mendiondo, Marjolein Mens, Shifteh Mobini, Guilherme Samprogna Mohor, Viorica Nagavciuc, Thanh Ngo-Duc, Thi Thao Nguyen Huynh, Pham Thi Thao Nhi, Olga Petrucci, Hong Quan Nguyen, Pere Quintana-Segui, Saman Razavi, Elena Ridolfi, Jannik Riegel, Md Shibly Sadik, Elisa Savelli, Alexey Sazonov, Sanjib Sharma, Johanna Sorensen, Felipe Augusto Arguello Souza, Kerstin Stahl, Max Steinhausen, Michael Stoelzle, Wiwiana Szalinska, Qiuhong Tang, Fuqiang Tian, Tamara Tokarczyk, Carolina Tovar, Thi Van Thu Tran, Marjolein H. J. Van Huijgevoort, Michelle T. H. van Vliet, Sergiy Vorogushyn, Thorsten Wagener, Yueling Wang, Doris E. Wendt, Elliot Wickham, Long Yang, Mauricio Zambrano-Bigiarini, Gunter Bloschl, Giuliano Di Baldassarre
Summary: Risk management can reduce the impacts of floods and droughts, but faces difficulties in managing unprecedented events of a greater magnitude. Improved risk management and integrated management can help lower the impacts of more hazardous events.
Article
Environmental Sciences
Matthias Kemter, Norbert Marwan, Gabriele Villarini, Bruno Merz
Summary: There are regional variations in flood magnitudes across the conterminous USA. This study identifies the main controlling factors for flood magnitude trends using a novel combination of methods and an extensive range of variables. Hydro-climatologic changes and land use are found to be of similar importance in influencing flood magnitude trends.
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH
(2023)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Madou Sougue, Bruno Merz, Jean Mianikpo Sogbedji, Francois Zougmore
Summary: Understanding the space-time variations of extreme rainfall is crucial for managing water-related disasters in Sahel countries. This study examines the temporal changes in rainfall characteristics and investigates the connection between Atlantic Sea surface temperature and extreme rainfall in southern Burkina Faso. The findings reveal significant spatial heterogeneity in rainfall trends across the study area, with more downward than upward trends in extreme rainfall. The study also highlights the importance of considering nonstationary models when modeling extreme rainfall frequency and intensity in the region.
Article
Water Resources
Sungju Han, Philip Bubeck, Annegret Thieken, Christian Kuhlicke
Summary: This study examines the relationship between risk appraisal, resident responses, and attitudes toward nature-based solutions (NBS) from various perspectives, including theoretical frameworks, citizen surveys, and structural equation modeling. The study found that understanding risk, effective communication, and perceived co-benefits are key factors in promoting acceptance and support for NBS.
HYDROLOGIE UND WASSERBEWIRTSCHAFTUNG
(2023)
Review
Environmental Sciences
Tobias Sieg, Sarah Kienzler, Viktor Rozer, Kristin Vogel, Henning Rust, Axel Bronstert, Heidi Kreibich, Bruno Merz, Annegret H. Thieken
Summary: Flood risk assessments require diverse disciplines to understand and model hazard, exposure, and vulnerability. Refined methods and data significantly impact the overall assessment of flood risk. However, the optimal level of detail is often unknown, making it challenging to prioritize improvements. Creating a balanced approach that incorporates all relevant processes is crucial. More comprehensive case studies are needed for quantitative decision support and to enhance the reliability of flood risk assessments.
JOURNAL OF FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT
(2023)
Article
Environmental Studies
Philipp Schneider, Annegret Thieken, Ariane Walz
Summary: This study examines the effects of temperature and air pollution on human health, focuses on the increased occurrence of emergency ambulance dispatches in a city in Germany, and discusses the applicability for health care interventions and urban planning. The results indicate a significant association between heat waves and cardiovascular diseases, providing baseline information for future urban planning and public health care management.
WEATHER CLIMATE AND SOCIETY
(2023)
Article
Environmental Studies
Philip Bubeck, Daniel Osberghaus, Annegret H. Thieken
Summary: The Protection Motivation Theory (PMT) is widely used to explain individuals' risk-reducing behavior towards flooding and other natural hazards. However, there is a lack of understanding about changes in PMT components and risk-reducing behavior due to the predominant use of cross-sectional research designs. This study examines the relationship between various intrapersonal sources of information and changes in PMT components and risk-reducing behavior using unique panel data from a survey in Germany.
ENVIRONMENT AND BEHAVIOR
(2023)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Lisa Berghaeuser, Philip Bubeck, Paul Hudson, Annegret H. Thieken
Summary: Individual precautionary behaviour in response to flooding can significantly reduce flood impacts. This study identifies and characterises different types of trajectories of adaptive behaviour after a flood event using panel data in Germany. Three different groups were found: a 'high standard' group, a 'high performer' group, and a 'low adaptive' group. Tailored risk communication and funding schemes may be needed to support low adaptive types of flood-prone residents.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
(2023)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Joern Birkmann, Holger Schuettrumpf, John Handmer, Annegret Thieken, Christian Kuhlicke, Alessa Truedinger, Holger Sauter, Elena-Maria Klopries, Stefan Greiving, Ali Jamshed, Bruno Merz, William Solecki, Lothar Kirschbauer
Summary: This article explores the challenges and opportunities for strengthening resilient recovery based on the reconstruction process in Germany after the extreme floods in 2021. The findings are highly relevant for other regions and the international discourse on disaster resilience and reconstruction.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
(2023)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Shivani Chouhan, Annegret H. Thieken, Philip Bubeck, Mahua Mukherjee
Summary: The Indian Himalayan Region (IHR) is prone to natural and man-made hazards, and Uttarakhand state has a history of disasters due to its tectonic activity. Tourism is important for the state's economy, but development projects related to tourism may increase disaster frequency. This study examines the contribution of tourism to disaster impact and recovery, finding that households on tourism routes have better recovery compared to off-tourism routes due to socioeconomic differences and lack of livelihood opportunities. Developing sustainable tourism solutions with resilient planning is crucial for disaster resilience.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
(2023)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Heidi Kreibich, Kai Schroeter, Giuliano Di Baldassarre, Anne F. Van Loon, Maurizio Mazzoleni, Guta Wakbulcho Abeshu, Svetlana Agafonova, Amir AghaKouchak, Hafzullah Aksoy, Camila Alvarez-Garreton, Blanca Aznar, Laila Balkhi, Marlies H. Barendrecht, Sylvain Biancamaria, Liduin Bos-Burgering, Chris Bradley, Yus Budiyono, Wouter Buytaert, Lucinda Capewell, Hayley Carlson, Yonca Cavus, Anais Couasnon, Gemma Coxon, Ioannis Daliakopoulos, Marleen C. de Ruiter, Claire Delus, Mathilde Erfurt, Giuseppe Esposito, Didier Francois, Frederic Frappart, Jim Freer, Natalia Frolova, Animesh K. Gain, Manolis Grillakis, Jordi Oriol Grima, Diego A. Guzman, Laurie S. Huning, Monica Ionita, Maxim Kharlamov, Dao Nguyen Khoi, Natalie Kieboom, Maria Kireeva, Aristeidis Koutroulis, Waldo Lavado-Casimiro, Hong-Yi Li, Maria Carmen LLasat, David Macdonald, Johanna Mard, Hannah Mathew-Richards, Andrew McKenzie, Alfonso Mejia, Eduardo Mario Mendiondo, Marjolein Mens, Shifteh Mobini, Guilherme Samprogna Mohor, Viorica Nagavciuc, Thanh Ngo-Duc, Huynh Thi Thao Nguyen, Pham Thi Thao Nhi, Olga Petrucci, Nguyen Hong Quan, Pere Quintana-Segui, Saman Razavi, Elena Ridolfi, Jannik Riegel, Md Shibly Sadik, Nivedita Sairam, Elisa Savelli, Alexey Sazonov, Sanjib Sharma, Johanna Soerensen, Felipe Augusto Arguello Souza, Kerstin Stahl, Max Steinhausen, Michael Stoelzle, Wiwiana Szalinska, Qiuhong Tang, Fuqiang Tian, Tamara Tokarczyk, Carolina Tovar, Thi Van Thu Tran, Marjolein H. J. van Huijgevoort, Michelle T. H. van Vliet, Sergiy Vorogushyn, Thorsten Wagener, Yueling Wang, Doris E. Wendt, Elliot Wickham, Long Yang, Mauricio Zambrano-Bigiarini, Philip J. Ward
Summary: As the impacts of hydrological extremes increase, understanding the drivers of changes in risk and impacts is crucial for effective flood and drought risk management. However, there is currently a lack of comprehensive data on the processes and interactions leading to flood and drought impacts. This benchmark dataset provides unique socio-hydrological data on paired flood and drought events, covering a wide range of conditions. It enables comparative analyses and context-specific assessments, and can be used for exploring causal links and developing socio-hydrological models.
EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCE DATA
(2023)
Article
Ecology
Jennifer von Keyserlingk, Annegret H. Thieken, Eva Nora Paton
Summary: Land degradation has negative impacts on approximately 3.2 billion people globally and leads to a loss of about 10% of annual gross domestic product. The existing approaches to assess land degradation risk lack a consistent conceptual framework and fail to distinguish between degradation status assessment and assessment of future risk. Damage is rarely quantified and there is a lack of clarity between processes and drivers, hazard and vulnerability. The paper proposes integrating ideas from disaster risk research to stimulate debate and facilitate the development of effective risk reduction measures for land degradation.
ECOLOGY AND SOCIETY
(2023)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Thulasi Vishwanath Harish, Nivedita Sairam, Liang Emlyn Yang, Matthias Garschagen, Heidi Kreibich
Summary: The study found that a household's level of education, belief in government measures, and belief in taking responsibility for flood consequences positively influenced proactive adoption of non-structural measures. For households that had experienced flooding, the severity of the damage influenced their decision to implement precautionary measures. However, perceiving a high severity of future flood impacts negatively affected the adoption of structural flood precautionary measures.
NATURAL HAZARDS AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES
(2023)
Article
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
Annegret H. H. Thieken, Philip Bubeck, Anna Heidenreich, Jennifer von Keyserlingk, Lisa Dillenardt, Antje Otto
Summary: Intense rainfall in July 2021 led to devastating floods and numerous fatalities in Germany. A survey revealed that a significant percentage of respondents did not receive warnings or lacked situational knowledge on protective behaviour. The effectiveness of protective actions was compromised by high water levels and surprise about the magnitude of the flood. To improve the flood forecasting, warning and response system, better dissemination of warnings, clearer communication on flood magnitude, and recommendations on appropriate responses are needed.
NATURAL HAZARDS AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES
(2023)
