Ice sheet contributions to future sea-level rise from structured expert judgment

Revisiting Antarctic ice loss due to marine ice-cliff instability

(2019) Tamsin L. Edwards et al.   NATURE

The land ice contribution to sea level during the satellite era

(2018) Jonathan L Bamber et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Extreme sea level implications of 1.5 °C, 2.0 °C, and 2.5 °C temperature stabilization targets in the 21st and 22nd centuries

(2018) D J Rasmussen et al.   Environmental Research Letters

Climate-change–driven accelerated sea-level rise detected in the altimeter era

(2018) R. S. Nerem et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Dark zone of the Greenland Ice Sheet controlled by distributed biologically-active impurities

(2018) Jonathan C. Ryan et al.   Nature Communications

Mapping Sea-Level Change in Time, Space, and Probability

(2018) Benjamin P. Horton et al.   Annual Review of Environment and Resources

Expert judgement for dependence in probabilistic modelling: A systematic literature review and future research directions

(2017) Christoph Werner et al.   EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH

Evolving Understanding of Antarctic Ice-Sheet Physics and Ambiguity in Probabilistic Sea-Level Projections

(2017) Robert E. Kopp et al.   Earths Future

The Arctic-Subarctic sea ice system is entering a seasonal regime: Implications for future Arctic amplification

(2017) Thomas W. N. Haine et al.   Scientific Reports

Contribution of Antarctica to past and future sea-level rise

(2016) Robert M. DeConto et al.   NATURE

Coastal sea level rise with warming above 2 °C

(2016) Svetlana Jevrejeva et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Dynamic Antarctic ice sheet during the early to mid-Miocene

(2016) Edward Gasson et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

How high will the seas rise?

(2016) Michael Oppenheimer et al.   SCIENCE

Expert judgement and uncertainty quantification for climate change

(2016) Michael Oppenheimer et al.   Nature Climate Change

Potential of the solid-Earth response for limiting long-term West Antarctic Ice Sheet retreat in a warming climate

(2015) Hannes Konrad et al.   EARTH AND PLANETARY SCIENCE LETTERS

Potential sea-level rise from Antarctic ice-sheet instability constrained by observations

(2015) Catherine Ritz et al.   NATURE

The multi-millennial Antarctic commitment to future sea-level rise

(2015) N. R. Golledge et al.   NATURE

Sea-level feedback lowers projections of future Antarctic Ice-Sheet mass loss

(2015) Natalya Gomez et al.   Nature Communications

Resolution-dependent performance of grounding line motion in a shallow model compared with a full-Stokes model according to the MISMIP3d intercomparison

(2014) J. Feldmann et al.   JOURNAL OF GLACIOLOGY

Probabilistic 21st and 22nd century sea-level projections at a global network of tide-gauge sites

(2014) Robert E. Kopp et al.   Earths Future

Disconcerting learning on climate sensitivity and the uncertain future of uncertainty

(2013) Alexis Hannart et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE

Dynamic behaviour of the East Antarctic ice sheet during Pliocene warmth

(2013) Carys P. Cook et al.   Nature Geoscience

Sea-Level Rise by 2100

(2013) J. A. Church et al.   SCIENCE

An expert judgement assessment of future sea level rise from the ice sheets

(2013) J. L. Bamber et al.   Nature Climate Change

Acceleration of the contribution of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets to sea level rise

(2011) E. Rignot et al.   GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS

Sea-level rise and its possible impacts given a 'beyond 4 C world' in the twenty-first century

(2010) R. J. Nicholls et al.   PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES

Negative learning

(2008) Michael Oppenheimer et al.   CLIMATIC CHANGE