On the Predictability of Future Impact in Science

Commentary: The case for caution in predicting scientists’ future impact

(2013) Orion Penner et al.   PHYSICS TODAY

How relevant is the predictive power of the h-index? A case study of the time-dependent Hirsch index

(2013) Michael Schreiber   Journal of Informetrics

Predicting scientific success

(2012) Daniel E. Acuna et al.   NATURE

The Possible Role of Resource Requirements and Academic Career-Choice Risk on Gender Differences in Publication Rate and Impact

(2012) Jordi Duch et al.   PLoS One

Predicting Scholars' Scientific Impact

(2012) Amin Mazloumian   PLoS One

Persistence and uncertainty in the academic career

(2012) A. M. Petersen et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Science faculty's subtle gender biases favor male students

(2012) C. A. Moss-Racusin et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

The role of mentorship in protégé performance

(2010) R. Dean Malmgren et al.   NATURE

Quantitative and empirical demonstration of the Matthew effect in a study of career longevity

(2010) A. M. Petersen et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Universality of citation distributions: Toward an objective measure of scientific impact

(2008) F. Radicchi et al.   PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Multi-University Research Teams: Shifting Impact, Geography, and Stratification in Science

(2008) B. F. Jones et al.   SCIENCE